Sunday, September 7, 2008

NFL Post Season Predictions: Channeling Jimmy

AFC Wild Card Round:
Indianapolis over Cleveland
Pittsburgh over Jacksonville

NFC Wild Card Round:
Tampa Bay over Minnesota
Philadelphia over Arizona

AFC Divisional Round:
San Diego over Pittsburgh
Indianapolis over New England

NFC Divisional Round:
Dallas over Tampa Bay
Philadelphia over Arizona

AFC Championship Game:
Indianapolis over San Diego

NFC Championship Game:
Dallas over Philadelphia

Super Bowl XLIII:
Dallas over Indianapolis

For another take, go here.

NFC Predicitions: How 'Bout Them Cowboys!!

All of the above average teams in the NFC reside in one division. The four teams in the NFC East are far and away the best teams in the conference. Every team in this group could win 10 games with Dallas being the cream of the crop. The Brett Favre-less Packers will take a serious step backward after a year that saw them overachieve by about four games. The NFC West should not be allowed to be represented in the playoffs, it is the NFL equivalent of MLB's NL West. The odd coincidence with this analogy is that Arizona will win in both sports. Now for more bad picks:

NFC East:
1. Dallas
2. Philadelphia
3. New York Giants
4. Washington

NFC North:
1. Minnesota
2. Detroit
3. Green Bay
4. Chicago

NFC South:
1. New Orleans
2. Tampa Bay
3. Carolina
4. Atlanta

NFC West:
1. Arizona
2. Seattle
3. St. Louis
4. San Francisco

To see the thoughts of the older generation, see this.

AFC Predictions: The Phins Will Not Make the Playoffs

The AFC is the deeper of the two conferences with heavyweights New England, San Diego, Indianapolis, and Pittsburgh. But the storyline in the AFC all season will be super annoying Brett Favre. The Patriots and Chargers will each win a ton of games in terrible divisions and the AFC South will rival the NFC East for the best division in football. Darren McFadden will be sensational as a rookie, much like Adrian Peterson last season and the Dreadful Dolphins will win more than one game. Without further adieu, NFL picks that are sure to be wrong, AFC Edition:

AFC East:
1. New England
2. New York Jets
3. Buffalo
4. Miami

AFC North:
1. Pittsburgh
2. Cleveland
3. Cincinnati
4. Baltimore

AFC South:
1. Indianapolis
2. Jacksonville
3. Houston
4. Tennessee

AFC West:
1. San Diego
2. Oakland
3. Denver
4. Kansas City

To see what the only person I know who has seen every Super Bowl thinks, go here.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Average Joe

After countless wasted hours of speculation and pontificating by the media, Senator Obama finally unveiled his choice for VP. The campaign did a remarkable job at keeping the senator's pick away from the prying press, who could not wait for this monumentally important revelation. It is important to remember that the only time anyone cares about the VP in a campaign is the lead up to his selection, as the super smart talking heads can yell and scream at each about who it could or could not possibly be. Soon-to-be-Senator Mark Warner would have been the best choice, but he seems contempt winning a crushing victory in November. Senator Clinton might have been the best pick when it comes to the electoral map, but could not be chosen given the tenor of the campaign. Governor Tim Kaine was in the running, but lacked enough experience to get the call. Senator Evan Bayh was a Clinton supporter and helped secure her victory in Indiana in the primaries, thus he was not going to be chosen. For me, I liked the thought of Governor Kathleen Sebelius, a centrist Democrat who was re-elected as governor of Kansas in 2006 by 17 points.

Senator Biden is a safe, but super boring, pick. He adds the missing experience that seems to make many uneasy, having served in the Senate 14 years longer than Senator McCain. He is a foreign policy heavyweight, serving as the chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. His relationships around the world are a plus for the Obama campaign. He is also an aberration in the sense that he serves in the U.S. Senate and is not a millionaire. He will help with those working class voters that have previously backed Senator Clinton. If you have never heard of the former British Labour Party Leader, Neil Kinnock, you soon will. At the end of the day, Senator Obama's choice is not important, but Senator McCain's is. How bad does he want to win Pennsylvania? Enough to pick Governor Tom Ridge, who is pro-choice? Could it be Governor Mitt "the Mormon" Romney? Or could the former maverick give the finger to the entire Republican establishment and pick his pal Senator Lieberman? Senator McCain's choice is the one that counts.

Diamond Dust: Power Players Edition, V.4.0


Top Bats:
  1. Albert Pujols (3)-.356 (2)/27 HR (11t)/85 RBI (9t)/.462 OBP (1)/.630 SLG (1)/79 R (14t)/34 2B (7t)
  2. Lance Berkman (1)-.331 (4)/26 HR (13t)/93 RBI (5)/.431 OBP (3)/.603 SLG (3)/99 R (1)/39 2B (1t)/15 SB (20)
  3. Ryan Ludwick (NR)-.308 (9)/31 HR (4t)/95 RBI (4)/.383 OBP (14t)/.606 SLG (2)/88 R (6)
  4. Josh Hamilton (2)-.303 (11t)/29 HR (3t)/115 RBI (1)/.550 SLG (6t)/81 R (11t)
  5. Jose Reyes (NR)-.301 (13t)/91 R (4)/40 SB (2)/14 3B (1)/13 HR/53 RBI
Guys to keep an eye on: Chipper Jones (4), Ian Kinsler (5), David Wright, Manny Ramirez, Carlos Lee, Carlos Quentin, Chase Utley, Dan Uggla, Ryan Braun, Jermain Dye

Top Arms:
  1. Cliff Lee (1)-18-2 (1)/2.43 ERA (1)/141 K (7)
  2. Brandon Webb (NR)-19-4 (1)/2.74 ERA (3)/153 K (7t)
  3. Tim Lincecum (5)-14-3 (5t)/2.48 ERA (1)/200 K (1)
  4. Francisco Rodriguez (3)-54.1 IP/2.65 ERA/49-54 SVOP (1)/60 K
  5. Edinson Volquez (2)-15-5 (2t)/2.80 ERA (4)/155 K (6)
Guys on the radar: Johan Santana, Brad Lidge, Dan Haren, Chad Billingsley, Ryan Dempster, Jake Peavy, Roy Halladay, Joe Saunders, Ervin Santana

Monday, August 11, 2008

It's Okay to Watch Gymnastics...This Week Only

The Olympics are here an it is the only time when sports like swimming, volleyball, and track & field are interesting. While some would ponder why a country with the track record of China should have been rewarded with the attention of the world, others would tell us to forget about Chinese treatment of Tibet, it's environmental record, the country's despicable human rights record, and why Taiwan is required to compete as Chinese Taipei without its national flag (what will there anthem be if they win gold?) and enjoy Michael Phelps and the return to dominance of US basketball. Phelps is the story, as the Golden Boy is now 3-3 in his quest to win 8 gold medals. This would be a pretty impressive athletic feat, kind of like the time I walked the bases loaded before subsequently striking out the side when I was 14. Some would say winning one Olympic medal would be impressive, thus Phelps is merely a show-off. The record for career gold medals is 9, which Phelps tied earlier this evening with 5 more races to go. If you missed the amazing finish in the men's 4 x 100 relay last night, go here and watch it.

For the take of a guy who remembers watching Tommie Smith and John Carlos in Mexico City in '68, go here.

Friday, August 8, 2008

Diamond Dust: The This Guy Has Staying Power Edition

I was among those who loved the Ryan Ludwick story in the first part of the season, which culminated in a trip to the All Star Game, but thought there was no way this could last. Over the last 10 games, Ludwick's average has gone from .292 to .307. Over this stretch, he has 6 HR and 11 RBIs. He now has 6 more home runs (29) and 9 more RBIs (82) than Albert Pujols. No one thought this possible, not even Ryan Ludwick's parents. The Not-So Crappy Cardinals have played a decent brand of baseball as of late, but the bullpen is becoming a major issue. Isringhausen does not have it right now, Franklin is not dependable, and McClellan is not ready for the spotlight despite a great rookie campaign thus far. Chris Perez, who has 24 career appearances, got the save against the L.A. Many Ramirez's last night. This is not the guy one wants closing out games this weekend against the front-running Cubs. TheCubs seem to have a stranglehold on the division, but the Cards remain only one game out of the Wild Card, trailing the Brew Crew. The Double C gave another great performance on Tuesday, pitching 5 scoreless (only 51 pitches) innings before taking no-decision when Izzy & Co. blew a 4-run 9th inning lead. I pose the same query form last week when it comes to the Cards. They can hit, but can they pitch? I wish I knew.

Random inane mutterings:
  • Manny Ramirez has been on a tear since Boston gave him away, batting almost .600 with 4 home runs and 9 RBIs in 6 games. The funny thing about this is that before acquiring Ramirez, the Dodgers were a .500 team (54-54), and after acquiring Ramirez, the Dodgers are a .500 team (3-3).

  • The Mets have bullpen issues, but remain within striking distance of the Phillies.

  • The Terrible Tigers are on life support and I fear the doctor is about to ask me if I want to pull the plug on my World Series pick after they lost 6 in a row this week.

  • Is Seattle really 26.5 games behind the Angels?

  • Chipper Jones could win the NL batting title by missing the rest of the season, he is currently 19 points ahead of Pujols (.369-.350).

  • Carlos Lee is the most underrated player in baseball right now (.309/28 HR/97 RBI).

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Gridiron Granules: The Could This Clown Be Any More Annoying Edition

The long national nightmare is over, Brett Favre has a new team at last. I would rather watch Fox News go back to running a continuous loop of Jeremiah Wright clips or MSNBC commentators identifying more lobbyists in the John McCain camp or John McCain and Barack Obama continually bickering over tire pressure than another ESPN reporter live from Green Bay. Over the past two weeks, there was a 200% chance one could turn to ESPN News and see someone yakking about the old man. I have had about as much interest in Favre's final destination as I do about who will be America's Next Top Model. Did this clown really think the Packers were just going to release him and let him go to the Vikings or Bears? I am almost ready to move Favre up to #3 on my list of all-time annoying players in NFL history. Chad Pennington was immediately cut, which means he will end up on the Dolphins, as the quarterback situation seems dire (go here for a good laugh). I think baseball pennant races are still ongoing, so could ESPN stop with the saturation coverage of this buffoon. I actually heard someone say Broadway Brett. The Jets just went from a 5-6 win team to an 8-9 win team and nothing more, so keep any Joe Montana to the Chiefs talk to yourself.

Friday, August 1, 2008

Diamond Dust: The Welcome Back Edition

The Double C returned from a long, long, long stint on the DL to pitch effectively on Wednesday night. He only went 4 innings and threw 67 pitches, but he also only gave up one earned run. Needless to say, this was a much better return than the Mark Mulder experience. A healthy Chris Carpenter will add stability to a pitching rotation that has survived despite countless injuries. As of late, the bullpen has been obnoxiously bad. Rookie Kyle McClellan seems overworked, Ryan Franklin has shown he is better suited for the set-up role, and Ron Villone has been awful. A sweep at the hands of the Cubs has put the Brew Crew in a tie with the Cardinals in the Wild Card, but the resurgent Mets and insurgent Marlins are close behind. The Cards can hit (more runs scored than the Brewers), the question is, can they pitch?

Senseless mutterings:
  • The Dodgers add Manny Ramirez with the Red Sox giving up a lot financially and in talent to get rid of one of the best hitters of this era. For the woeful Dodgers, this is the type of player they desparately need. A guy who can actually hit the ball over the fence. Of course, Andruw was supposed to be that guy, but his supplier stopped getting him the inspiration he needed, thus he has been rendered ineffective. Furcal's continued absence will be what ultimatley sinks this ship in a bad division.
  • The addition of Jason Bay was a nice one for the super annoying Red Sox, as they replace an older, disgruntled player with a much younger, happier one. Bay is no Manny and has zero playoff experience, but this guy has not peaked yet and could be a stalwart in that lineup for years to come.
  • It must be nice to be the Yankees. You lose your catcher, no problem, just go out and acquire one for $12.5 million. The acquisition of Nady and Marte was a great move.
  • The rich get richer, as the Angels get Mark Texieria from the disappointing Braves. Now, instead of winning every game 4-2, they will win 7-2. Somewhere, Boby Thigpen is smiling. This team is in a class by itself at the moment.
  • The standings seem to be taking on a more recognizable appearance, with a few exceptions. The Devil Rays, Marlins, White Sox, and Not-So Crappy Cardinals continue to defy expectations. The Cubs seem to be pulling away in the NL Central, the Angels might clinch the NL West tomorrow, the Mets have managed to get to the top of a very competitive NL East, and the Tigers are very slowly moving in on the White Sox.
Go see what LWAL's favorite old man thinks here.

Monday, July 21, 2008

Diamond Dust: Power Players Edition, V.3.0

The All Star game was one to remember. I would like to put forth a notion that no one should be allowed on the field if they are unable to play. Why have Kazmir in the bullpen if they do not want him to pitch? If the game counts (as they have told us continually), these guys have to act like it. Credit to Clint Hurdle for throwing his guy for three innings before bringing in Brandon Webb.

The Not-So Crappy Cardinals have come out swinging in the second part of the season in sweeping the lowly Padres in impressive manner, coming from behind to win each of the games. None were more dramatic than Aaron Miles' walk-off grand slam in yesterday's 9-5 victory. The time has come to shut down Jason Isringhausen, as he blew a two run ninth inning lead yesterday. Troy Glaus is currently the hottest hitter o the planet. After a loss to the Phillies on July 10, Glaus was hitting .256. Since then his average has shot to .284 over 7 games. During this stretch, he has gone 17-29 with 12 runs scored, 4 doubles, 5 home runs, 9 RBIs, and has only struck out 3 times. More importantly, during this stretch, the Cards are 6-1, winning their last 5. The team will be tested this week, starting a four game set at home against the similarly hot Brew Crew and three this weekend against the Mets. And now for power players:

Top Bats:
  1. Lance Berkman (1)-.342 (2)/22 HR (8t)/73 RBI (4)/.438 OBP (3)/.638 SLG (1)/30 2B (2)/15 SB (13t)
  2. Josh Hamilton (2)-.309 (10)/21 HR (3t)/95 RBI (1)/.365 OBP (22)/.545 SLG (6)/24 2B (24t)
  3. Albert Pujols (5)-.359 (2)/18 HR (20t)/55 RBI (30t)/.472 OBP (1)/.611 SLG (2)/21 2B (35t)/14 games missed
  4. Chipper Jones (3)-.373 (1)/18 HR (20t)/53 RBI (33t)/.469 OBP (2)/.607 SLG (3)/12 games missed
  5. Ian Kinsler (NR)-.328 (1)/14 HR (24t)/5 RBI (12t)/.389 OBP (9)/.533 SLG (9t)/34 2B (2)/24 SB (5t)

Guys to keep an eye on: Chase Utley (4), Dan Uggla, Hanley Ramirez, Jose Reyes, Ryan Braun, Ryan Ludwick, Carlos Quentin, Jermain Dye, Milton Bradley

Top Arms:

  1. Cliff Lee (2)-13-2 (1)/2.29 ERA (1)/110 K (7)
  2. Edinson Volquez (1)-13-3 (2t)/2.49 ERA (1)/129 K (4)
  3. Francisco Rodriguez (NR)-44 IP/2.25 ERA/45 K/40-43 SVO (1)
  4. Brad Lidge (NR)-41 IP/1.10 ERA/56 K/21-21 SVO (5)
  5. Tim Lincecum (4)-11-3 (5t)/2.79 ERA (4)/143 K (1)

Guys to keep an eye on: Justin Duchsherer, Brandon Webb, Dan Haren, Ben Sheets, Carlos Zambrano, Roy Halladay, JOe Saunders, Ervin Santana

The Day the Dolphins Died

It is rare that you could say that losing two defensive ends is a good thing, but that is exactly what Redskins fans are thinking today. After losing starter Phillip Daniels and reserve Alex Buzbee, the Redskins moved quickly and acquired the heart and soul of the Miami Dolphins, Jason Taylor. Taylor has more sacks than any active player by a wide margin (117 to Kevin Carter's 100) and was named Defensive Player of the Year only two years ago. Having suffered as a Dreadful Dolphins fan my entire life, I can say that the one constant with this team over the past 10 seasons has been the play of Taylor. For several years he has been the only reason to watch this team play, thus losing him to a franchise as utterly annoying as the Redskins is irritating. Parcells never warmed up to the idea of Taylor doing "Dancing with the Stars," so Taylor had to go. I think this exhibits a bit of stubbornness on the part of the new executive VP and leaves the franchise without a face for the coming season. As for the Redskins, the one thing they have severely lacked for the last 5 seasons is a bonafide pass rushers. Solid play from the team's linebackers and secondary has gone to waste because of a lack of pressure up front. The acquisition of Taylor will single-handedly fix their problem and add to my suffering.

Monday, July 14, 2008

Diamond Dust: The 5 Dumbest and Most Astute Things I Said Before the Start of the Season


The problem with posting your thoughts on the Internet is that anyone can go back see how wrong you were in your preseason projections. While my World Series pick of Tigers over Mets did not seem bold at the time, it seems like a long-shot now (although the Mets are currently playing a great brand of baseball, winners of nine in a row). Johan Santana and Vladimir Guerrero will not win their league's respective MVP awards, Erik Bedard will not finish in the top 10 in AL Cy Young voting, and while Santana has pitched like one of the three best pitchers in the NL, a lack of run support will cost him that NL Cy Young he covets. Without further adieu, I present the lowlights and highlights of my preseason predictions:

The Not-So Bright:

  1. "The Twins traded away their two best players and will probably hover around .500 only because of all the games they get to enjoy against the lowly White Sox and Royals, who will both be terrible and are not worth anymore of my time."-Even the Royals have exceeded expectations in this division. I gave the White Sox zero chance at finishing within 10 games of the Indians for second. I also underestimated the collective talent of Mauer and Morneau, as the Twins have been sensational.
  2. "The Marlins will compete for the worst record in all of baseball."-No one thought this team would spend more days in first place than any other team in the first part of the season in a tough NL East. This team wins with its bats, as they currently rank 14th in pitching. They might not finish near the lowly Mariners and Nationals, but they will be more than 1.5 out when it is all said and done.
  3. "This division contains the most Wild Card hopefuls. The Padres are the second best team in the NL and should win this division comfortably."-All I can say about my take on the NL West is moronic. Who thought the Padres would be this pitiful? The Dodgers? This division is embarrassingly bad.
  4. "The race between the Tigers and Indians will be one to watch."-Actually, it is rather unwatchable. The Indians, like the Mariners, should be better. While the Tigers struggled initially and turned it around (.500 at the break is a monumental accomplishment for this team), the Indians have never found their collective bearings. If this emerges as a race, it will be for fourth place.
  5. "Is Billy Beane still working in Oakland? How are those sabermetrics working out now?"-Like the Marlins, no one thought the A's would be within sniffing distance of .500 at the All Star break, nonetheless seven game over .500.

Nostradamus, anyone?:

  1. "The Nationals will be a non-factor for the near future as they are equipped with a collection of minor league pitchers posing as a big league staff. At least they have a new stadium."-This team is terrible and has no one on the roster that any diehard Nationals fan would want to see. The stadium is terrific.
  2. "The Brewers will make the race interesting with what is probably the best lineup in the NL, but pitching is this team's Achilles Heel. Eric Gagne as a closer is never a good sign at this stage of his illegitimate career. "-The Brew Crew have received two blessings this season. First the injury to the suddenly oft-injured Eric Gagne (get this guy a B-12 shot stat) and second, the acquisition of C.C. Sabbathia, both of which helped this team's pitching problems. With two bonafide aces and a lineup that absolutely kills the ball, this team will be dangerous in the second part of the season.
  3. "The Rockies got into the playoffs by seemingly winning their last 50 games. They are in the same boat as the Phillies, Letdown City, population 2."-The Phillies have not been a disappointment, but the Rockies, unsurprisingly, are playing like the team that was out of the playoff hunt before that ridiculous run last season.
  4. "The Rangers cannot pitch. Having Kevin Millwood as your opening day starter 5 years ago would have been questionable."-One cannot say enough about the Rangers offense, Kinsler, Hamilton, Young, Bradley, et al. have been fantastic. This team reminds me of the 2005 Red Sox-great offense, terrible pitching.
  5. "Regarding the Toronto Blue Jays, can we please stop saying this is their year? This might be their year, if they played in the NL Central. Vernon Wells peaked a few years back because of obvious steroid use. They added Rolen and Eckstein (both of whom I love for obvious reasons), who are the on the downward slope of their careers and their two best pitchers are liabilities because of injuries."-People seem to think this team is playing well at 47-48, but that is not acceptable for the team that has been on the cusp of breaking out for the past three seasons